Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1180.680190 1332.817199 1499.268165 1695.248441 1920.129959 2170.620684 2471.488726
2025-12-28 968.846534 1180.053662 1431.419447 1754.215538 2160.002489 2656.156641 3313.242794
2026-01-04 839.051985 1075.463335 1373.301385 1779.268264 2323.121822 3033.441209 4042.738552
2026-01-11 743.128215 992.047400 1320.275394 1789.810673 2452.476752 3366.634019 4744.684981
2026-01-18 668.891783 924.313158 1274.472889 1796.656076 2567.768540 3683.831969 5456.914953
2026-01-25 620.918144 885.144867 1260.355453 1841.545492 2736.317006 4090.369582 6350.130760
2026-02-01 577.583653 846.646149 1241.010677 1873.240699 2884.327346 4478.441020 7263.404073
2026-02-08 537.349680 807.807412 1215.784011 1890.740661 3008.652233 4839.563334 8178.300019
2026-02-15 503.383223 774.674120 1195.008003 1911.199764 3137.235432 5219.089652 9174.438048
2026-02-22 477.281985 751.028549 1186.123256 1948.699379 3296.388328 5666.503124 10354.105539
2026-03-01 437.642098 701.820416 1130.950224 1901.526988 3301.317132 5839.210464 11038.282093
2026-03-08 401.415801 655.089302 1075.549302 1847.783968 3287.126714 5972.586150 11660.256718
2026-03-15 366.364679 608.137154 1016.818145 1784.166941 3251.013604 6066.388654 12230.092283
2026-03-22 355.046165 601.069531 1026.529761 1846.226696 3460.301416 6663.521326 13958.071822
2026-03-29 339.242678 584.670313 1018.000045 1872.756147 3602.384628 7142.675113 15506.331400
2026-04-05 322.654436 565.434809 1002.495899 1883.916134 3714.041654 7571.682317 17011.017612
2026-04-12 306.990901 546.594891 986.003426 1891.162962 3817.775367 7995.914634 18575.817205
2026-04-19 297.667694 538.766796 989.488397 1938.689063 4012.136721 8645.188798 20810.562714
2026-04-26 287.292618 528.088849 986.476610 1972.250446 4179.460779 9254.689569 23055.909703
2026-05-03 275.953795 514.661520 976.888572 1990.782351 4314.825077 9806.730227 25251.850099
2026-05-10 265.749993 502.684495 969.175459 2012.449290 4459.661146 10401.031550 27679.209858
2026-05-17 258.032902 495.079375 969.690391 2052.166621 4651.641335 11139.480345 30668.590352
2026-05-24 242.227718 469.966654 931.994131 2002.205279 4620.417991 11300.178331 31969.299200